Lead Time & Reorder Points
Lead time is the number of days between when you place an order and when it arrives. Understanding lead time is critical to preventing stock gaps.
Quick Definitions
Lead Time
Time from order placement to shipment receipt.
- Example: Order Monday, receive Friday = 4 days lead time
- Varies by: Supplier, shipping method, location
Reorder Point
Inventory level at which you should place a new order.
- Formula: (Lead Time × Average Daily Sales) + Safety Stock
- Purpose: Ensures you never run out while waiting for delivery
Running Low Threshold
Your configured reorder point that triggers alerts.
- Set in: Settings → Insight Settings → Stock Levels
- Triggers: "Running Low" status when on-hand reaches this level
Why Lead Time Matters
The Problem
If you have 30-day lead time but only 10 days of inventory,
you'll run out BEFORE your new shipment arrives.
The Solution
Reorder BEFORE you run out by accounting for lead time.
Reorder Point Formula
Reorder Point = (Lead Time × Average Daily Sales) + Safety Stock
Example Calculation
Product: Blue T-Shirt
| Variable | Value |
|---|---|
| Lead time | 30 days |
| Average daily sales | 5 units/day |
| Safety stock | 15 days |
| (30 × 5) + (15 × 5) | 225 units |
Meaning: When on-hand drops to 225 units, place a purchase order.
Why? Because:
- You'll sell 150 units in the next 30 days (lead time)
- You'll have 75 units left (your safety stock buffer)
- New shipment arrives before you run out
Accounting for Supplier Variability
Reliable Supplier
Characteristics:
- Always delivers on time
- Consistent lead time
- Predictable performance
How to handle:
- Use their stated lead time directly
- Example: They say "30 days" = use 30 days
- Lower safety stock buffer acceptable
- Monitor but expect consistency
Example:
- Stated lead time: 30 days
- Your formula: (30 × ADS) + Safety Stock
- Confidence: High
Unreliable Supplier
Characteristics:
- Variable delivery times
- Occasional delays
- Unpredictable performance
How to handle:
- Add 5-10 days to stated lead time
- Example: They say "30 days" = use 35-40 days
- Higher safety stock buffer recommended
- Monitor closely, consider switching
Example:
- Stated lead time: 30 days
- Actual average: 35-40 days
- Your formula: (40 × ADS) + Safety Stock
- Confidence: Medium
Where to Find Lead Times
Product Suppliers Tab
In Synplex inventory table:
- Click product name
- Go to Suppliers tab
- See lead time for each supplier
- View/edit lead time if needed
Supplier Management
In Suppliers section:
- View all suppliers
- See average lead time per supplier
- Update lead times as they change
- Track supplier performance
Historical Data
Synplex tracks:
- Typical lead time per supplier
- Variance (standard deviation)
- Most recent order timeline
- Performance trends
Setting Your Reorder Point in Synplex
Global Reorder Threshold
- Go to Settings → Insight Settings
- Find Stock Levels section
- Look for Running Low Threshold field
- This sets your global reorder point
How It's Calculated
Synplex automatically calculates based on:
- Lead time (from supplier settings)
- Average daily sales (from your configured period)
- Stock buffer/safety stock (from your settings)
Customizing Per Product
For different categories or suppliers:
- Set different lead times per supplier
- Synplex recalculates reorder points automatically
- View per-product reorder point in details page
Real-World Timeline Example
Product: Winter Boots
Setup
- Lead time: 45 days
- ADS: 5 units/day
- Safety stock: 20 days
- Reorder point = (45 × 5) + (20 × 5) = 325 units
Timeline
Day 1: On-hand = 400 units (healthy)
Day 20: On-hand = 300 units (approaching reorder point)
Day 21: On-hand = 295 units (NOW at reorder point)
- Status: Running Low ⚠️
- ACTION: Create PO TODAY
Day 22-45: On-hand decreases to 75 units
- New shipment in transit
- Continue selling
Day 46: On-hand = 0 units, BUT new shipment arrives
- Status changes from Out of Stock → Healthy
- New shipment = 500 units received
- On-hand = 500 units
Day 47 onward: Cycle repeats
Result: Never ran out of stock ✅
Common Mistakes & How to Avoid Them
Mistake 1: Using Supplier's Promised Lead Time
Wrong: Supplier says "30 days," you use 30 days
Problem: They're often late. You run out.
Fix: Track actual lead times over 3 months, add buffer for variability
Mistake 2: Not Updating Lead Times
Wrong: Never change lead times in system
Problem: Supplier changes or improves, but you're still using old time
Fix: Review lead times quarterly, update when they change
Mistake 3: Ignoring Peak Season Lead Times
Wrong: Use same lead time year-round
Problem: In peak season, suppliers are slower. You stock out.
Fix: Increase lead time 1-2 weeks during peak season
Mistake 4: Forgetting to Account for Safety Stock
Wrong: Reorder point = Lead time × ADS (no safety stock)
Problem: You hit stockout right when shipment arrives
Fix: Add safety stock buffer: (LT × ADS) + (Safety Days × ADS)
Best Practices
Practice 1: Know Your Lead Times
- Track actual lead time (not promised)
- Supplier performance data
- Average variance
- Seasonal variations
Practice 2: Build in Safety Stock
Never calculate reorder point without safety stock:
WRONG: RP = Lead Time × ADS
RIGHT: RP = (Lead Time × ADS) + (Safety Days × ADS)
Practice 3: Review Quarterly
Every 90 days:
- Check if lead times changed
- Assess supplier reliability
- Adjust if needed
- Update in system
Practice 4: Account for Peak Seasons
- Increase lead times 1-2 weeks during peak
- Increase safety stock during peak
- Plan ahead for increased demand
FAQ
Q: How do I find my supplier's actual lead time?
A: Look at your past POs. When did you order vs. when did it arrive? Average those.
Q: Should I add buffer to lead time or safety stock?
A: Both! Add buffer to lead time (for supplier variability), then add safety stock separately (for demand variability).
Q: Can lead times change within the year?
A: Yes. Seasonal slowdowns, holidays, supply chain disruptions can all change lead times.
Q: What if I have multiple suppliers for one product?
A: Use the fastest/most reliable supplier for your reorder calculations. Others are backup.
Q: How do I know if my reorder point is right?
A: Track stockouts. If frequent, reorder point is too low. If overstocked, too high.
Next Steps
- Review your lead times — Settings → Suppliers
- Check your reorder points — Are they calculated correctly?
- Track actual lead times — Compare promised vs. actual over 3 months
- Adjust if needed — Update lead times in system
- Review quarterly — Keep lead times current
Related Articles
- Safety Stock Strategy — Safety stock component of reorder point
- Forecasted Stockout Date — When you'll run out
- Product Statuses — "Running Low" status
- ABC Analysis — Different lead times for different grades
Questions?
Contact support@synplex.io for help with lead time configuration.